Why Excel Falls Short for Effective Model Risk Management

When beginning with Model Risk Management (MRM), the first step is to establish a comprehensive MRM framework. This framework outlines the procedures, standards, roles, and responsibilities that an organization should follow to effectively mitigate model risk. Once the framework is in place, the next task is to identify all models that fall within its scope. After identifying these models, the organization can develop a book of work, which serves as the plan for the initial review of these models before transitioning into business-as-usual (BAU) operations.

During this model identification phase, it is essential to collect relevant metadata and compile it into an inventory. While it might be tempting to store this data in Excel due to its simplicity, this approach can lead to significant issues down the road. This article explains why relying on Excel for MRM can be problematic and highlights the key features of a robust MRM system.

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Key Features of a Model Risk Management System

A common misconception is that an MRM system is merely a system of records. In reality, managing model risk effectively requires an MRM system composed of several integrated modules.

1. Model Inventory

The system of records, also known as the model inventory or catalog, tracks the status and key attributes of the models. However, a model inventory cannot be represented adequately in a simple table format. Model features often have complex structures, including hierarchies, conditional attributes, and interdependencies, which Excel struggles to manage effectively.

For example, consider the model tier, which represents the risk level of a model. Higher-tier models carry more risk and therefore require more detailed scrutiny, necessitating additional attributes. Managing these conditional fields is challenging in Excel. Another example involves model dependencies, where the output of one model (e.g., PnL vectors) feeds into another model (e.g., a market risk model). Modern guidelines emphasize tracking and understanding these dependencies to prevent risk concentration. Representing such dependencies and displaying the network of interconnected models is difficult, if not impossible, with an Excel-based inventory.

2. Workflow Engine

Another critical component of an MRM system is a workflow engine. Models follow a defined lifecycle documented in the MRM framework, and it’s crucial to ensure that each model adheres to this process. For instance, before a model is moved into production, it must undergo an independent review. The MRM framework outlines a validation process that includes all necessary steps. Unlike Excel, which lacks workflow capabilities, an MRM system can be configured to guide developers and validators through each step, ensuring compliance and creating an audit trail.

3. Compute Infrastructure

A third essential element is a compute infrastructure where both model developers and validators can run tests—such as developmental evidence building, benchmarking, or monitoring. While Excel can perform basic arithmetic, the complex quantitative testing required for MRM far exceeds Excel’s capabilities.

4. API Integration

Finally, a robust MRM system should include an API to ensure it integrates seamlessly within the organization’s technology ecosystem. Data from the MRM system should flow into other components, such as reporting systems or dashboards. The API allows for programmatic interactions, such as automatically updating the inventory when a new model version is deployed. Excel lacks this capability, making integration and automation cumbersome.

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Additional Features

In addition to these core components, there are several other crucial features that a robust MRM system offers, which are challenging to implement in Excel:

  • Audit Trail: It’s vital to track changes to the model inventory over time, capturing who made each change.
  • Access Control: Often, access to models in the inventory is restricted, with only a select few permitted to modify model attributes.
  • System Lifecycle Management: The MRM system itself must evolve to stay aligned with the MRM framework, which continuously changes due to the introduction of new model types and updated MRM guidelines. Excel lacks the versioning functionality required to manage these changes effectively.

Small Inventories: The Hidden Risks of Using Excel

Advocates of using Excel for model inventories often argue that it’s sufficient when dealing with a small number of models. If an organization has only 3-5 models, why invest in a comprehensive system? However, there are significant concerns with this approach.

Firstly, if an institution claims to have only three models, it likely hasn’t identified all the models that should fall under its MRM framework. Secondly, organizations with a small number of models often lack a well-established MRM team and may outsource functions such as model validation to consulting firms. This outsourcing can lead to inconsistent validation processes, as different consultants may approach the task differently. A workflow engine, which Excel lacks, is essential for guiding validators through a standardized review process. Without it, validation methods can vary widely, a common issue raised by both internal auditors and regulators.

The Business Case: Hidden Costs of Excel-Based Inventories

While an Excel-based inventory might seem cost-effective at first glance, the actual expenses can far exceed those of a dedicated MRM system.

Consider the following scenario: Suppose an organization has five models, three of which require validation in a given year. Without a workflow engine to guide consultants through the validation process, we’ve observed that this can result in at least one additional week of work per validation.

Moreover, management often needs reports to discuss risk appetite and facilitate board-level discussions. Compiling this data is complicated when using Excel, as information is typically scattered across multiple documents, with no built-in reporting functionality. Assuming quarterly reporting is necessary, this could take up to five days per report to prepare.

Finally, during external audits or regulatory reviews, an MRM system allows for a much smoother process, thanks to centralized data and built-in audit trails. In contrast, organizations relying on Excel will face challenges. Auditors are likely to ask more questions due to the inherent limitations of Excel as a trustworthy system. Additionally, gathering the necessary data is cumbersome, and the lack of consistency in an Excel-based inventory often leads to audit findings that require significant time to address. Based on our experience, such an audit could result in up to six months of additional work, or about 20 person-days per year.

Excel inventory

The scenario above illustrates that even with a small inventory of just five models, the hidden costs of using Excel can add up to approximately 55 person-days of extra work per year. This overhead far exceeds the annual subscription fee for a dedicated MRM system like the Yields MRM Suite. Additionally, a vendor-based MRM system incorporates best practices from the broader MRM community and evolves continuously, helping organizations build better models more efficiently and ultimately adding significant value.

Conclusion

In this article, we’ve outlined why relying on Excel for model inventories is not only risky but also costly. Excel-based inventories fall short in providing adequate model risk mitigation and can lead to significant operational inefficiencies. Investing in a proper MRM system is not just a best practice—it’s a necessity for effective risk management.

Yields MRM Suite

Yields MRM Suite

Staying compliant with evolving regulations, especially across different countries, is challenging. The Yields MRM Suite provides advanced tools specifically designed to help with Model Risk Management regulations, ensuring you meet these specific requirements effectively.

Visit our demo center to learn more.